The Fall Markets Review — Mustering Up a Mild Rally or Settling in For the Season?

by

Opinion

As we say goodbye to October, colder weather is setting in just as the markets could be warming up. More than a few analysts are pointing to soy meal as a driver of the sustained rally we’ve seen in the grain markets recently, but the move is now beyond “rational levels”. With an increase in price of 30% in just one month to almost $400 per short ton, supply and demand factors don’t really justify the current levels (i.e. the fundamental glove doesn’t fit). Combined with precariously tight ending stocks, the behind-schedule U.S. soybean harvest has created problems for some…

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