How Big? An Early Look at Yield Expectations

Harvest is ramping up across Western Canada, with combines rolling — and some getting stuck due to wet conditions — in cereal and pea fields.

Saskatchewan’s Ministry of Agriculture issued its first yield estimates in its weekly crop report on Thursday. The ballpark expectations for most crops are above 2015 yields, as well as higher than the five and ten-year averages, with lentils and chickpeas as the notable exceptions. While above average, most crops are not expected to surpass the bumper yields reached in 2013.

2016 1st yield comparison SaskAlberta Agriculture and Forestry, meanwhile, has issued several yield estimates throughout the growing season, with the most recent numbers published on August 9th.

2016 yield comparison ABManitoba Agriculture doesn’t publish yield estimates, but shares reported yield ranges. As of Monday, the department said winter wheat yields range from 50 to 100, fall rye 40 to 95, spring wheat yields 40 to 60, barley yields 70 to 85 and field peas 25 to 50 bushels per acre.

StatsCan will be issuing its first production estimates on August 23.

Have a safe harvest!

RealAgriculture Partnering with CASA to Raise Funds for Grain Entrapment Training Unit


Kelvin Heppner

Kelvin Heppner is a field editor and radio host for RealAgriculture and RealAg Radio. He's been reporting on agriculture on the prairies and across Canada since 2008(ish). He farms with his family near Altona, Manitoba, and is on Twitter at @realag_kelvin. @realag_kelvin


Wheat prices jump into August — This week in the grain markets

This week, winter wheat prices touched a three-year high, but it didn’t last. Chicago SRW wheat prices for September 2018 gained 5 per cent or about 26 cents US/bushel to close at $5.56. While the December 2018 contract was up 5.4 percent — or nearly 30 cents — to finish a tad under $5.80. In…Read more »


Leave a Reply


This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.