Hope for better harvest weather rests with El Niño


Patience is in short supply for Western Canada’s farmers slogging through a tough harvest, but those waiting for a change in weather are just going to have to wait longer, according to Drew Lerner, of World Weather Inc.

“The atmosphere is very unsettled right now,” Lerner says. “There is a lot of cold air coming south out of the Arctic, so western Canada will be dealing with a lot of cool air.” That means we’re not going to see drying conditions, even if it means a lack of precipitation.

Not a lot of precipitation does not mean no precipitation, however, Lerner says. “We are going to continue to have small disturbances though, passing through the region and enough instability will occur that we are going to have to bide some periods of precipitation and unfortunately a bit more snow fall is going to be possible as well,” he adds.

The hope for the biggest change appears to be a strengthening El Niño. “If the El Niño phenomenon can get its act together quickly enough we could induce a stronger ridge of high pressure over a larger part of Western Canada and settle down the atmosphere and give us more sunny days and warm weather biases.”

Listen below for Lerner’s fall 2018 weather forecast, including some early notes about what kind of winter to expect.


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