Not even a week into this latest sitting of Parliament and the sparks are flying. Question Period has been spicy, to put it mildly, and we’re already looking at a Conservative non-confidence motion to be voted on next week. What could this sitting mean for the Liberals, election timing, the official opposition, the Bloc and more?
James Moore, former Conservative cabinet minister and current senior business advisor at Dentons, sat down with RealAg Radio host and founder of RealAgriculture Shaun Haney to unpack what’s certain, what’s up in the air, what’s ahead, and what history tells us about political moves in the waning years of a political dynasty.
The summary of the discussion is below the player — hit play or download to listen later or offline!
Summary:
- Moore predicts a shaky Parliament term due to the NDP and Liberals’ strained relationship, with the Liberals’ poor performance in by-elections last week adding to the strain
- Moore highlighted the Conservatives’ 15-point lead in polls, driven by young voters’ support for Pierre Poilievre
- Haney and Moore discuss the use of political nicknames during question period, including “Phantom finance minister” and “Carbon Tax Carney”
- Moore expresses mixed feelings about Mark Carney’s role as a volunteer advisor, noting the potential conflict of interest and the unclear benefits for the public
- He emphasizes the importance of maintaining the Canada-U.S. trade relationship, particularly with the USMCA agreement, and the potential risks of China’s EV policies
- Haney and James Moore discuss the challenges of succeeding a long-term leader, using examples from Canadian histor
- Moore explains the cultural shift in Canadian politics, where leadership identity becomes synonymous with the party’s identity, making succession difficult, i.e. the Liberals now
- He highlights the historical trend of new leaders struggling to maintain their predecessors’ momentum
- He predicts a wild scramble for the Liberal leadership after Justin Trudeau, with potential opportunities for Pierre Poilievre
- Moore also noted the need for increased military spending to meet NATO commitments and predicted Justin Trudeau’s likely departure as Prime Minister by Christmas
- He adds that he expects Canadians will likely go to the polls in spring of 2025
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