Author: Brennan Turner

Brennan Turner is originally from Foam Lake, SK, where his family started farming the land in the 1920s. After completing his degree in economics from Yale University and then playing some pro hockey, he spent some time working in finance before starting FarmLead.com, a risk-free, transparent online and mobile grain marketplace (app available for iOS & Android). His weekly column is a summary of his free, daily market note, the FarmLead Breakfast Brief. He can be reached via email ([email protected]) or phone (1-855-332-7653).

Grain markets continue to test our patience — This week in the grain markets

On Thursday, October 11th, the USDA released the October WASDE report, showing a smaller U.S. corn crop, but still some relatively large global supplies, notably in soybeans. Going into the report, the market was a bit bearish, expecting 2018/19 corn, soybean, and wheat carryout in both the U.S. and around the world to increase. However,… Read more »

Finally, the end of a tumultuous quarter — This week in the grain markets

Grain markets ended the last trading week of September mostly in the red, weigh on by relatively bearish stocks report from the USDA. Oats and canola prices were the only crops that were able to end the week in the green as concerns about the Western Canadian harvest continue to mount. The gains made this… Read more »

Do grain markets believe StatsCan numbers? — This week in the grain markets

Grain markets this week ended mostly higher as the complex has potentially digested the entirety of the U.S.-China trade war and a record American crop. Specifically to Canadian grain prices, contrasting fundamentals kept prices relatively flat this week. On the bearish side, the September satellite-based crop production estimates came out with numbers that were all… Read more »

Most Bearish WASDE Ever? — This week in the grain markets

On Wednesday, September 12th the USDA came out with one of the most bearish World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) reports in recent memory, destroying any pre-report expectations — especially for corn and soybeans. Going into the September WASDE report, the market was already quite bearish on soybeans, expecting to see 2018/19 ending stocks in… Read more »

U.S. rains, Canadian harvest pressures wheat markets — This week in the grain markets

Grain prices had a mostly red week but corn, soybeans, and canola were all about to recover their losses on Friday to end the week near equal — if not slightly above where they ended the previous Friday. Chicago SRW wheat contracts lost about 32 cents USD/bushel to close down 5.5 per cent – six… Read more »

StatsCan report can’t reverse bearish August — This week in the grain markets

Grain markets rallied on Friday to finish the last week of August mostly in the green but it wasn’t enough to make up for the sell-off that started mid-month. In terms of infleuncers, Statistics Canada provided its first in-depth forecast of the Canadian crop, but also that a new NAFTA agreement was nailed down in… Read more »

Usual or Unusual Grain Markets? — This week in the grain markets

Grain markets all pulled back this week on some bigger yield reports in the U.S. corn and soybean belt, while wheat markets took a breather from their bullish run. The U.S. corn crop is certainly advanced, with 44 per cent of fields dented as of last Monday. For perspective, going into the Week 34 USDA crop progress… Read more »

Grain markets gain on trade talks — This week in the grain markets

Grain markets crossed the mid-point of August on the good news that the United States government has set meetings with China to discuss concessions and ways to mitigate the ongoing trade problems that have hammered grain prices. We have to be rational with our expectations, but there is some optimism that geopolitical banter will be for the better…. Read more »

Wheat prices jump into August — This week in the grain markets

This week, winter wheat prices touched a three-year high, but it didn’t last. Chicago SRW wheat prices for September 2018 gained 5 per cent or about 26 cents US/bushel to close at $5.56. While the December 2018 contract was up 5.4 percent — or nearly 30 cents — to finish a tad under $5.80. In… Read more »

Getting away from artificial prices – This week in the grain markets

Grain markets this week finished higher for the second straight week as the complex seemed to wake up from the nightmare it’s been in the last few months. Corn prices had a fairly good week in Chicago. Front-month and next-month contracts added a few percentage gains as markets kept a close eye on European weather… Read more »

Christmas in July — This week in the grain market

Grain prices this week had a positive week for the first time in nearly 2 months. Almost feels like Christmas! Usually weather premiums are added to the market in late May through to June. However, this year, that seasonal pattern was idled thanks to an excellent start to the 2018 growing season in North America… Read more »

What will catch the falling knife?

Grain markets lost a fair amount in the second week of July and heightened geopolitical risk (read: trade war) and some decent-looking crops have negatively impacted grain prices. The latter factor was surmised by this week’s July 2018 WASDE report, which provided a reset of the goalposts when it comes to global agricultural supplies and… Read more »

Acreage, stock reports spark a rally — this week in the grain markets

Grain prices were able to find some buyers on Friday, June 29th, to end the trading month and wrap the quarter. Except for canola and soybeans, the grain markets ended up in the green, led by the wheat complex. While today’s StatsCan and USDA reports were certainly important, they weren’t the only things moving grain… Read more »

Protectionist policies slap grain markets around

Grain markets had a very rough week heading into the middle of June, surrounded by trade uncertainty and positive crop conditions. In fact, forget about crop conditions. Or rainfall. Or heat units. Whether or not the borders are open for business has become the only fundamental factor that really seems to matter to the direction… Read more »

Weather and geopolitical risk —This week in the grain markets

Except for wheat, grain markets this week trended mostly lower. The oilseed complex saw a significant sell-off as the start to the U.S. growing season has been good. Further, there haven’t been any noticeable discussion between the U.S. and China regarding trade. The market is interpreting this as bearish for soybeans. Next week Tuesday, June… Read more »