Author: Brennan Turner

Brennan Turner is originally from Foam Lake, SK, where his family started farming the land in the 1920s. After completing his degree in economics from Yale University and then playing some pro hockey, he spent some time working in finance before starting, a risk-free, transparent online and mobile grain marketplace (app available for iOS & Android). His weekly column is a summary of his free, daily market note, the FarmLead Breakfast Brief. He can be reached via email ([email protected]) or phone (1-855-332-7653).

This Week in Markets — Russian Production, Grocery-Store-Owned Farms & Railroad He-Said He-Said

While some were thinking of turkey and pumpkin pie ahead of the Canadian Thanksgiving long weekend, the grain market got a hold of the USDA’s October WASDE report. The report pushed some volatility in trading and wheat and canola closed in the red for the week, despite their hot start and trend to the upside… Read more »

Grain Prices Drift Lower on Production Estimates in the US & Canada

Grain prices started the month of October the same way they’ve been trending for the last five months: lower. Last week saw two important reports from the USDA and Statistics Canada, recording grain inventories and ’14 production estimates respectively. With some of the earliest-planted fields of corn and soybeans coming off in the American Midwest,… Read more »

The Markets This Week — Harvest Ruts, Hedge Funds and Higher Yields

Grain prices are in that seasonal rut thanks to #harvest14 selling pressure and favourable planting conditions as South America starts its seeding season. On the speculation side, hedge funds are starting to increase their optimism that grain and oilseed prices will begin to rise. That being said, in the last four decades, an ounce of… Read more »

The Markets This Week — The End of the Easy-To-Move Grain, Export Estimates & Quality Spreads

Heading past the halfway point of September, the pace of the North American harvest picked up with excellent weather allowing crops to dry out from late growing-season rains. That being said, the quality of the crop coming off is quite variable with reports of fields next to each other swaying a few grades one way… Read more »

The Markets This Week — Rebounding Opportunities?

Grains this week fell significantly as harvest pressure starts to hit full tilt in the North American markets. Most of the northern half of North America and parts of Australia are experiencing some cold weather, which has the bulls frothing to see prices move higher, but the trend continues to head lower as bears are… Read more »

Buy the Rumour? A Look at the Markets this Week

Coming off the long weekend in North America, the grains market started the month of September trying to hold onto higher levels on varying weather affecting crop development and the situation continuing to unfold in eastern Europe. While reports vary on a proposed ceasefire between the Ukrainian army and pro-Russian separatists, the latest rumour to… Read more »

This Week in Markets — Truth Behind the Numbers

As we close the month of August, the harvest itch was replaced in most areas with frustration as most of the U.S. Midwest and Canadian Prairies got hit with some untimely, heavy rains. The recent rains were seen as positive for both sides of the cornbelt with Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, & Nebraska all getting a… Read more »

The US Crop Tour Estimates, StatsCan Numbers, and Harvest Begins — This Week in Markets

Grain markets this week tracked along with the annual ProFarmer US Crop tour which hit Ohio, Indiana, Illinois, Iowa, Nebraska, South Dakota and Minnesota. The results were mostly what everyone was expecting: there’s a big crop is out there and the market knows it. Digging into the crop tour’s numbers, estimated corn and soybean pod… Read more »

This Week in Markets — A WASDE Recap, Bullish Acreage Numbers & More

Grain and oilseed prices through the middle of August continue to be depressed by anticipation of a bigger harvest. Specifically, on Tuesday, August 12th we got this month’s version of the USDA’s WASDE report which came in somewhat bullish corn, despite production still being pegged at over 14 billion bushels. Corn prices were supported by… Read more »

The Markets This Week: Russian Bans, Chinese Demands and Toppy Durum

Grains started the month of August with a little oomph as the tension between Russian and the rest of the Western world continues to build. Moscow is building up its military resources on the eastern Ukrainian border, signed a five-year oil deal with Iran, announced a one-year ban on the import of various agricultural products… Read more »

The Markets this Week — Have We (Finally) Found a Bottom?

The grain market continues to stagnate as traders, managed money, commercials, and producers alike are trying to determine if a bottom has finally been found. Grains have traded lower this week but wheat has rallied to close much higher than earlier in the week. Ultimately, July was an ugly month for the grains complex: canola… Read more »

This Week in Markets — Is a Bounce Too Much to Ask For?

Favourable weather continues to hover like a dark cloud over the grain markets as they continue to trek lower, just as meat prices are going the opposite direction. While most prices are relatively unchanged week-over-week, soybean prices did find a bit of a bounce on very strong U.S. export sales (as they say, the cure… Read more »

What Does the Bear Say? A Market Wrap-Up for the Week of July 18

Listen to this week’s market wrap-up on Soundcloud: Grains are mostly lower this week as the market chews through a bearish report from the USDA on Friday, July 11th. The only place you would’ve seen bulls roaming around was at the Calgary Stampede, I’m afraid. Managed money continues to be net sold of all grains,… Read more »

This Week in the Markets: The Rising Canadian Dollar and Diverging Sentiment

We’re getting to that point in the growing season where most producers have a general idea of what their crops are looking like. Of course, your expectations are completely dependent on where you farm and there is a fairly wide divergence of conditions out there right now. Eastern Saskatchewan & Western Manitoba continue to be… Read more »

A Bit of A Predicament — This Week in the Markets

A conundrum. A quagmire. An imbroglio. Quite simply put, we’re in a bit of a predicament between some very wet conditions creating production concerns in Western Canada and the northern U.S. states, but also because the market it chewing through a neutral-to-bearish report from Statistics Canada on Friday, June 27th and a surprising USDA report… Read more »