Author: Brennan Turner

Brennan Turner is originally from Foam Lake, SK, where his family started farming the land in the 1920s. After completing his degree in economics from Yale University and then playing some pro hockey, he spent some time working in finance before starting, a risk-free, transparent online and mobile grain marketplace (app available for iOS & Android). His weekly column is a summary of his free, daily market note, the FarmLead Breakfast Brief. He can be reached via email ([email protected]) or phone (1-855-332-7653).

A Bit of A Predicament — This Week in the Markets

A conundrum. A quagmire. An imbroglio. Quite simply put, we’re in a bit of a predicament between some very wet conditions creating production concerns in Western Canada and the northern U.S. states, but also because the market it chewing through a neutral-to-bearish report from Statistics Canada on Friday, June 27th and a surprising USDA report… Read more »

The Markets This Week — Weather and Oil

Grain markets continue to be depressed by favourable crop conditions, especially in the U.S. where the corn crop was most recently rated as 76 per cent in good-to-excellent condition while the U.S. soybean crop was rated as 73 per cent G/E. This is the fifth-best and best ratings for mid-June on record. University of Illinois… Read more »

Play the Game in Front of You — This Week in the Grain Markets

Grains this week have been in a bit of a slump as #plant14 is finally wrapping up and crop conditions are generally good. The start of the week focused around the portion of the U.S. corn and soybean crop rated good-to-excellent at 75% and 74% respectively. Wheat continues to trade lower with bigger expectations out… Read more »

The Markets This Week: Good Conditions Are Less-Than-Great for Prices

Grains this week were dealt a fairly bearish USDA crop progress report which indicated that the U.S. crop is coming up strong and, generally, in excellent condition. The report indicated that 76% of the U.S. corn crop is in good-to-excellent condition, a start that’s only been topped by the 2012 crop start which put 78%… Read more »

Growing On Up — This Week in Markets

Many grain market participants are blaming the end of the calendar month as the reason for some sharp losses this week, as funds try to shore up their books and withdraw cash to pay off clients requesting their investment back. It’s interesting to note that managed money went net short in Chicago last week and… Read more »

Corn & Wheat Prices Dip as Soybeans Make a Run at Highs — This Week in Markets

Good planting conditions and favourable weather in the U.S. has led to corn prices dipping slightly over the last week. Corn joins wheat prices on the downtrend all thanks to a bearish global picture. Old crop soybean prices have popped recently, hitting 11-month highs as crush margins and meat prices in China are improving while… Read more »

Lower Grains and Doubt on Crop Production Estimates

Grains have traded relatively lower this week as a relatively bearish outlook from the U.S.D.A. last Friday but a bit of a damper on the market. Corn and wheat prices have taken the biggest hit week-over-week as positive planting progress across the border in the U.S. pulled back some of the premium built into the… Read more »

Ukraine, Weather & Grain: This Week in the Markets

Grains this week were mostly higher as weather concerns and geopolitical risk continued to hang over the market. The oilseed trade was adversely affected by a large stocks number put out by Statistics Canada but has since got some support from an increasing chance of El Nino (bullish for vegetable oils) and Chinese soybean imports… Read more »

Flax Movement, An Icy Lake Superior and Slowed Planting: The Markets This Week

Grain markets this week were up and down with the close of one month, the transition to a new front-month contract, and trade limits changing on the exchanges. Also affecting things were the U.S. Wheat Quality Council’s winter wheat crop tour in Kansas and some violent weather in the Delta. All in all, if there’s… Read more »

Planting Begins and, With It, Volatility: The Markets This Week

If you cannot see the embedded player, click here. Late April has some farmers in Western Canada dusting off the seeding equipment, and there have even been reports of elusive railcars sighted at elevators. This is the backdrop to which grains continue to trade off of weather and the geopolitical situation in Eastern Europe. Concerns… Read more »

The Market This Week: Eastern European Production, Cold Weather & Fertilizer Shortages

Grains are seeing more premium priced in this week as the complex continues to deal with cold weather in North America and the political unrest in Eastern Europe. Due to depreciating currencies and affordable financing available, it’s expected that grain and oilseed acres and production in the Black Sea will decline significantly from last year…. Read more »

This Week in the Markets: Canadian Rail, Demand Shifts & A Record Low U.S. Oat Inventory

If you cannot see the embedded player, click here. The second week of April brought the USDA’s monthly instalment of the world agricultural supply and demand estimates and the numbers were: relatively bearish wheat, bullish soybeans, and bullish corn. Oats year-end inventories were dropped by 10 million bushels to a new record low of 20… Read more »

This Week in the Markets: Friendly News for Corn & Managing Pulse Price Risk

If you cannot see the embedded player, please click here to hear this audio. As we ended the month of March and shovelled our way through “spring” weather in to April, the grain markets were hit with a fairly uneventful Stocks and Acreage report from the USDA. The biggest shock came in the form of… Read more »

An Elevating CWB, Fair Rail and the Threat of War in Russia

If you cannot see the embedded player, click here. The grain trade this week was mostly higher as solid export numbers and lingering concerns over dryness and the political state of Eastern Europe hung over market. With Russian troop numbers building at the Russian-Ukrainian border, more than a few intelligence analysts are reminded of a… Read more »

Market Wrap Up: Dry Weather in the US Wheat Belt, AAFC Acreage Predictions & Geopolitical Wrangling

If you cannot see the embedded player, click here. The week that was saw some more gains earlier in the week reined in Thursday and Friday as trading focused on logistical issues, dry weather in parts of the U.S, Eastern Europe and  Australia. The situation between Russia and Ukraine (and every other nation for that… Read more »