Author: Brennan Turner

Brennan Turner is originally from Foam Lake, SK, where his family started farming the land in the 1920s. After completing his degree in economics from Yale University and then playing some pro hockey, he spent some time working in finance before starting, a risk-free, transparent online and mobile grain marketplace (app available for iOS & Android). His weekly column is a summary of his free, daily market note, the FarmLead Breakfast Brief. He can be reached via email ([email protected]) or phone (1-855-332-7653).

This Week in Markets — Truth Behind the Numbers

As we close the month of August, the harvest itch was replaced in most areas with frustration as most of the U.S. Midwest and Canadian Prairies got hit with some untimely, heavy rains. The recent rains were seen as positive for both sides of the cornbelt with Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, & Nebraska all getting a… Read more »

The US Crop Tour Estimates, StatsCan Numbers, and Harvest Begins — This Week in Markets

Grain markets this week tracked along with the annual ProFarmer US Crop tour which hit Ohio, Indiana, Illinois, Iowa, Nebraska, South Dakota and Minnesota. The results were mostly what everyone was expecting: there’s a big crop is out there and the market knows it. Digging into the crop tour’s numbers, estimated corn and soybean pod… Read more »

This Week in Markets — A WASDE Recap, Bullish Acreage Numbers & More

Grain and oilseed prices through the middle of August continue to be depressed by anticipation of a bigger harvest. Specifically, on Tuesday, August 12th we got this month’s version of the USDA’s WASDE report which came in somewhat bullish corn, despite production still being pegged at over 14 billion bushels. Corn prices were supported by… Read more »

The Markets This Week: Russian Bans, Chinese Demands and Toppy Durum

Grains started the month of August with a little oomph as the tension between Russian and the rest of the Western world continues to build. Moscow is building up its military resources on the eastern Ukrainian border, signed a five-year oil deal with Iran, announced a one-year ban on the import of various agricultural products… Read more »

The Markets this Week — Have We (Finally) Found a Bottom?

The grain market continues to stagnate as traders, managed money, commercials, and producers alike are trying to determine if a bottom has finally been found. Grains have traded lower this week but wheat has rallied to close much higher than earlier in the week. Ultimately, July was an ugly month for the grains complex: canola… Read more »

This Week in Markets — Is a Bounce Too Much to Ask For?

Favourable weather continues to hover like a dark cloud over the grain markets as they continue to trek lower, just as meat prices are going the opposite direction. While most prices are relatively unchanged week-over-week, soybean prices did find a bit of a bounce on very strong U.S. export sales (as they say, the cure… Read more »

What Does the Bear Say? A Market Wrap-Up for the Week of July 18

Listen to this week’s market wrap-up on Soundcloud: Grains are mostly lower this week as the market chews through a bearish report from the USDA on Friday, July 11th. The only place you would’ve seen bulls roaming around was at the Calgary Stampede, I’m afraid. Managed money continues to be net sold of all grains,… Read more »

This Week in the Markets: The Rising Canadian Dollar and Diverging Sentiment

We’re getting to that point in the growing season where most producers have a general idea of what their crops are looking like. Of course, your expectations are completely dependent on where you farm and there is a fairly wide divergence of conditions out there right now. Eastern Saskatchewan & Western Manitoba continue to be… Read more »

A Bit of A Predicament — This Week in the Markets

A conundrum. A quagmire. An imbroglio. Quite simply put, we’re in a bit of a predicament between some very wet conditions creating production concerns in Western Canada and the northern U.S. states, but also because the market it chewing through a neutral-to-bearish report from Statistics Canada on Friday, June 27th and a surprising USDA report… Read more »

The Markets This Week — Weather and Oil

Grain markets continue to be depressed by favourable crop conditions, especially in the U.S. where the corn crop was most recently rated as 76 per cent in good-to-excellent condition while the U.S. soybean crop was rated as 73 per cent G/E. This is the fifth-best and best ratings for mid-June on record. University of Illinois… Read more »

Play the Game in Front of You — This Week in the Grain Markets

Grains this week have been in a bit of a slump as #plant14 is finally wrapping up and crop conditions are generally good. The start of the week focused around the portion of the U.S. corn and soybean crop rated good-to-excellent at 75% and 74% respectively. Wheat continues to trade lower with bigger expectations out… Read more »

The Markets This Week: Good Conditions Are Less-Than-Great for Prices

Grains this week were dealt a fairly bearish USDA crop progress report which indicated that the U.S. crop is coming up strong and, generally, in excellent condition. The report indicated that 76% of the U.S. corn crop is in good-to-excellent condition, a start that’s only been topped by the 2012 crop start which put 78%… Read more »

Growing On Up — This Week in Markets

Many grain market participants are blaming the end of the calendar month as the reason for some sharp losses this week, as funds try to shore up their books and withdraw cash to pay off clients requesting their investment back. It’s interesting to note that managed money went net short in Chicago last week and… Read more »

Corn & Wheat Prices Dip as Soybeans Make a Run at Highs — This Week in Markets

Good planting conditions and favourable weather in the U.S. has led to corn prices dipping slightly over the last week. Corn joins wheat prices on the downtrend all thanks to a bearish global picture. Old crop soybean prices have popped recently, hitting 11-month highs as crush margins and meat prices in China are improving while… Read more »

Lower Grains and Doubt on Crop Production Estimates

Grains have traded relatively lower this week as a relatively bearish outlook from the U.S.D.A. last Friday but a bit of a damper on the market. Corn and wheat prices have taken the biggest hit week-over-week as positive planting progress across the border in the U.S. pulled back some of the premium built into the… Read more »