Category: Economy & Financial Markets

Bank of Canada announces earlier-than-expected interest rate hike

The Bank of Canada announced its second interest rate hike in two months, surprising analysts, and raising the target interest rate by one-quarter point to 1 percent. The last interest rate hike was announced in mid-July, and was the first increase the country had seen in over seven years. Many analysts had expected Bank of Canada… Read more »

Interest rate increases coming to Canada and the impact of trade talks on the Canadian economy

The Canadian economy has been healthy as of late, which has many farmers with higher debt levels somewhat concerned about interest rate increases in the near future. Farmers have enjoyed a low interest rate environment for quite some time, but the reality is – the Bank of Canada has some some decisions to make. Additionally… Read more »

RealAg Markets: Second day of red all over the screen

The markets continued their strong bearish tone as grains and oilseeds pushed lower across the board for the second day in a row on Tuesday. On Monday, one excuse was that Friday’s bearish cattle on feed report sparked a push to sell. Expected rains in the U.S. midwest later this week have certainly driven some… Read more »

Cooling off? — This Week in the Grain Market

Grain prices over the first two weeks of July are still swinging a bit wildly as the market is trying to price in the recent heat. Scorching temperatures hit most of North America before the USDA came out with their July WASDE report on July 12th, 2017. The report was met with some bearish skepticism,… Read more »

Canadian food prices still dropping, while spending is up

Food prices in Canadian stores have declined for nine consecutive months, dating back to last September, as measured by Statistics Canada’s Consumer Price Index. While the rate of depreciation has slowed since January, Kevin Grier, market analyst and author of the Grocery Trade Review, explains there are two main factors putting downward pressure on the… Read more »

Halftime analysis in the grain markets

As we turn the calendar into July, we’re taking a look back at the markets over the last six months. We’ll also offer our expectations for the balance of 2017. In our 2017 Grain Markets Forecast (posted in January), we made several timestamped projections. You can review them here at your convenience. The U.S. Federal… Read more »

Register for GrainWorld – Influencers Driving Innovation

November is always a very interesting time for the markets.  Analysts begin to have an idea of the crop volume and quality and farmers and looking to solidify their new crop marketing plans and are already beginning to think about planting intentions for the coming spring.  Farmers also have to increasingly pay attention to the… Read more »

Canada is the Largest Importer Of U.S. Processed Food, Doubling Second-Place Mexico

Trade between the NAFTA nations has become mainstream news on a daily basis.  Trade relations between Canada and the United States seems to be getting cooler as the battle over lumber, energy, and dairy heats up. The Canadian and American agriculture economies are very linked and, as highlighted by Kevin Grier in his March edition of… Read more »

The US Raises Interest Rates and the Canadian Dollar Goes Up – What is Going On?

Markets move up and down on news, anticipation and results. The currency market has some somewhat predictable drivers of the value of a given country’s currency. This past week, the United States Federal Reserve raised interest rates 0.25% and the impact in the Canadian Dollar value against the US dollar was a head scratcher. Although… Read more »

Grain Market Moves this Week: It’s Not All Politics

Grain markets are closing out the month of January with not a lot of love as weather stabilizes in South American and President Donald Trump following through on a lot of campaign promises (first politician to ever do so?), which is creating more doubts about international demand and/or markets for U.S. agricultural products. From a performance… Read more »

David Frum’s Advice for the Prime Minister on Dealing with Trump

As Donald Trump takes office in the United States, questions abound regarding the impact of his promised economic, environmental, foreign, and trade policies. There’s optimism in the agricultural regions of the U.S, as the president-elect has promised a major reduction of government agency regulation. The American people wanted something different in Washington and that is what they appear… Read more »

Grains Markets 2016: Bullish Headlines & Bearish Facts

Grain markets headed lower this week as the market dealt with lower volume and profit-taking ahead of the winter holidays. Since last Friday, the Canadian Loonie lost 1.4% to head into the Christmas weekend below 74 cents USD as Trump economic policies that are trickling out continue to support the U.S. economy more than they… Read more »

Holiday Traditions — This Week in the Grain Markets

Grains markets cruised through the middle of December slightly lower to unchanged as export and domestic demand numbers tried to offset some changing monetary policy from the U.S. Federal Reserve. The U.S. Dollar climbed 1.3% for the week, making U.S.-based grains more expensive relative other origins. Oats was the only thing that made the green… Read more »

Feeling Great Again? — This Week in the Grain Markets

One week after Donald Trump was voted in as the next President of the United States of America, the U.S. Dollar hit a 14-year high and surprisingly, commodities didn’t tank. After a volatile election and W.A.S.D.E. week, all grains ended up for the week, led by oats which gained 2.8% since last Friday. Corn was… Read more »

U.S. Election Tops Concerns for the Canadian Economy: BMO’s Chief Economist

Anti-trade messages from both U.S. presidential candidates are undoubtedly troubling for the future of the Canadian economy, especially in export-oriented sectors like agriculture. “That to me would be the number one concern when we look over the next six months — what happens in the U.S. election and what happens afterwards,” said Douglas Porter, chief economist… Read more »