Category: Grain Markets

Checking in on balance sheets — This week in the grain market

Grain markets continue to shift lower as harvest pressures – namely better-than-expected yields. A stronger Canadian Loonie put pressure on cash prices on the northern side whereas the weaker U.S. dollar has helped offset harvest pressures a bit. For the week, corn lost 0.55% while soybeans gained 0.7%. Canola was just 0.2% lower while oats… Read more »

USDA delivers some more bearish surprises

The USDA published another bearish report on Tuesday, boosting corn and soybean yields when the market was expecting numbers to be lower than in August. For corn, the department projected an average yield of 169.9 bushels per acre, up from 169.5 in August and almost two bushels above the average analyst’ estimate of 168. For… Read more »

Who is eating all the durum?

Editor’s note: This is a guest market column by Dwight Nichol, DLN AgVentures. StatsCan released their July 31st Ending Stocks report for the 2016-17 crop year on Wednesday. This was the third week with new Canadian revisions, and other than minor changes, should finalize crop year 2016-17 Supply and Demand balance. This stocks release is… Read more »

Who owns all the grain? — This week in the grain market

Grain markets this week were influenced mainly by factors of weather, currency, and harvest pressure. Canola lost 1.4% since last Friday, mainly because of the Canadian Loonie appreciating 1.9% over the same time frame. Oats lost 1.8% while corn and soybeans gained 0.35% and 1.25% respectively. Finally, Minneapolis hard red spring wheat edged up 2.35%,… Read more »

Is this a seasonal slump or something bigger?

Grain markets almost always take a dive as harvest approaches and new supplies hit the market, but the big question for marketing is — will prices rebound or stay at lower levels? “I’ve been doing this for quite a few years and every year I kind of get sucked in a little by it, and… Read more »

Finally a bullish report, or was it?

Statistics Canada came out with their first production estimates of the 2017 Canadian crop on Thursday, August 31st. For once, they weren’t bearish! 13,300 Canadian farmers were surveyed between July 19th and August 1st on their acres, yield and total production. However, while the numbers below are considered bullish, there has certainly been some healthy… Read more »

StatsCan production report: canola and wheat production down but soybeans production up big

StatsCan released its production estimates for principal field crops and not surprisingly the estimated production is down in comparison to 2016. You can find the entire StatsCan report here Here is how some market analysts reacted to the report. There is some doubt as you would expect on some of the numbers released. Brian Voth… Read more »

Pro Farmer predicts 2017 corn and soybean yields slightly below USDA estimates

This week was a very intense week for crop scouts and the Pro Farmer crew led by Chip Flory and Brain Grete.  After the USDA caused quite an uproar a couple weeks ago with their August crop estimate report which came in above analysts expectations there was much anticipation for the Farm Journal crop tour…. Read more »

Release of Ag Canada Supply and Demand Report creates questions for canola

Ag Canada has updated its supply and demand tables for major field crops and there were adjustments that are gaining attention. One of the major adjustments was the canola feed, waste and dockage for canola reported to be (-727,000mt). So what does this negative number actually mean for the canola market? According to John Deputter,… Read more »

Limiting harm — This Week in the Grain Market

Grain prices all headed lower this week as beneficial rains and slower bullish headlines pushed more profit-taking action in the markets. Canola traded sideways for the week but did drop down to $492 CAD / MT before closing at nearly $507 on the November contract. Soybeans acted similarly, only losing 0.1% whereas its acreage competitor,… Read more »

Echoes in the Distance — This week in the grain market

Grain markets sold off this past week as the USDA came out with a surprisingly bearish report of world agricultural supply and demand estimates. Instead of the roughly 166 bushel per acre US corn yield that market was expecting, the USDA came out with 169.5. That’s just a 1.2 bushel drop from the previous estimate… Read more »

August USDA report makes analysts shake their heads

The condition of the United States corn and soybean crop drives much of the sentiment on agricultural commodities. The weather stress of 2017 has created much discussion among farmers and analysts that the U.S. crop will be lower than trend line yield. Apparently the USDA does not agree with farmers or market analysts. The USDA… Read more »

Dynamic soybean demand keeps this incoherent market afloat

When crops reach record high acreages on both sides of the border the market should respond negatively to higher supply levels. Increased supply has to be supported with increased demand and that has been definitely the story in soybeans.  Even though the November soybean futures contract (can be seen below) is off earlier highs farmers… Read more »

Knowing your numbers — This Week in the Grain Markets

Grain markets this week saw a significant sell-off as better growing conditions are helping improve crop prospects. Soybeans had a terrible week, down 5.35%. Chicago wheat wasn’t that far behind, down 5.3%. Oats fell 2.5%. Corn and canola were both down 1.9%. This despite the Canadian Dollar also falling 1.8% from its high last week…. Read more »

How did you celebrate wheat and barley marketing freedom day?

Farmers across Western Canada celebrated on Tuesday as it was the fifth anniversary of farmers gaining marketing freedom for wheat and barley, formerly known as ‘board grains’. On August 1, 2012 farmers were given control of marketing their own farm production. Wheat and barley no longer had to be sold through the Canadian Wheat Board’s… Read more »