This just in — it’s winter. Snow is starting to fall across most areas around and above the 49th parallel, which will limit the ability to take off the remaining U.S. corn and soybean fields (some might have to wait until spring!). The cold could also have a negative effect on the winter wheat which… Read More
Category: Grain Markets
From a milling perspective, there’s good news about the quality profile of the 2014 wheat crop in Western Canada. Mildew is to blame for much of this year’s Canada Western Red Spring wheat falling outside of the top two grades, but wheat grading as #3 CWRS due to mildew is still exhibiting quality characteristics that millers want — attributes… Read More
Shipping your own railcar can have numerous benefits, not the least of which is selling grain at a higher price than local elevators are willing to offer. At the same time there’s also a fair amount of risk in counting on producer cars to market grain — just ask one of the farmers who are… Read More
Corn and wheat futures moved higher, while soybean values dropped following the release of the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s November crop production and supply/demand estimates on Monday morning. The numbers were not as bearish as many traders and analysts were expecting, says Mike Krueger, president of The Money Farm, in the interview above. “People thought… Read More
The grain and oilseed market started the month of November the opposite of how it ended October, as the market dropped lower on the U.S. harvest catching up to its historical average pace and a stronger U.S. dollar (which can help Canadian exports, hence basis in Western Canada narrowing recently). Lack of consistent rail service… Read More
Planting delays in Brazil due to dry conditions have provided some support to global oilseed markets over the last month or so, but it’s too early to be concerned about dryness. That’s according to Pedro Dejneka, managing partner with AGR Brasil — a unit of AgResource Company, who shared the South American market outlook at the Cereals… Read More
With the recent rally in soybeans looking like it might be over, there could be some major downside to oilseed prices, according to the chief economist for AgResource Company. Bill Tierney, speaking at the Cereals North America conference in Winnipeg last week, called the rally “seemingly inexplicable,” as there were no significant changes in U.S…. Read More
While world grain supplies are growing rapidly after producing enormous global corn, soybean and wheat crops this year, Canada stands out with domestic stocks dropping after the bumper crop of 2013 to levels that are closer to average. “We’re seeing our stock levels forecast to drop now to fairly typical levels by the end of this crop year,”… Read More
A repeat of last winter’s logistical nightmare for grain in Western Canada is unlikely. That’s because a combination of factors, including the federal shipping mandates for CN and CP Rail, summer weather and a smaller 2014 crop, have reduced the size of the rail backlog, noted the head of the company that monitors grain movement… Read More
As we say goodbye to October, colder weather is setting in just as the markets could be warming up. More than a few analysts are pointing to soy meal as a driver of the sustained rally we’ve seen in the grain markets recently, but the move is now beyond “rational levels”. With an increase in… Read More