Category: Markets

USDA Cattle on Feed report hints at need for continued consumer demand

The latest USDA Cattle on Feed report shows once again that the “wall” of cattle was not an unreasonable description. Thankfully, sustained consumer demand has helped greatly. The June report met expectations and further confirms what a bulk of analysts have been talking about the entire 2018 marketing year. Anne Wasko, with Gateway Livestock Exchange… Read more »

Christmas in July — This week in the grain market

Grain prices this week had a positive week for the first time in nearly 2 months. Almost feels like Christmas! Usually weather premiums are added to the market in late May through to June. However, this year, that seasonal pattern was idled thanks to an excellent start to the 2018 growing season in North America… Read more »

What will catch the falling knife?

Grain markets lost a fair amount in the second week of July and heightened geopolitical risk (read: trade war) and some decent-looking crops have negatively impacted grain prices. The latter factor was surmised by this week’s July 2018 WASDE report, which provided a reset of the goalposts when it comes to global agricultural supplies and… Read more »

Two buyers for every lamb: challenges and opportunities in the sheep industry

Canada imports more than half the lamb it consumes, which spells opportunity for our sheep farmers, but that opportunity isn’t the easiest to capitalize on. In the interview below, Marc Carere, vice chair of Ontario Sheep Farmers, talks to Shaun Haney about the tremendous amount of potential — but also incredible challenges —of this still-maturing… Read more »

Tariff battle looking like a turning point in world soybean trade

Despite what Chinese government officials say, most market analysts and traders believe China will need to buy soybeans from the U.S. this year, even if it means paying a 25 per cent tariff. “The question is not whether China is eventually going to have to buy U.S. soybeans. I think we all agree they have… Read more »

Poll: How do you price grain when production risk is high?

In a perfect world, you’d price grain several times a year, locking in a percentage of production at a profit, as determined by a complete cost of production figure. But farming isn’t perfect, and only the truly disciplined (and lovers of all things marketing) have annual pricing plans and stick with them. In reality, bills… Read more »

Bank of Canada increases target rate again, but questions remain on the economy and dollar

The Bank of Canada increased the target interest rate today by 0.25%, to 1.5%. This is now the fourth rate hike, amounting to 1%, since the Bank hiked rates for the first time since 2007 a year ago. Over the last year, the Bank of Canada has matched the aggressiveness of the U.S. Federal Reserve,… Read more »

Changes aim to ensure equal access to USDA reports in first few seconds

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has decided to no longer offer reporters a “lockup” period to digest its crop and livestock reports before they’re released to the public, as of August 1, 2018. The change in procedure is meant to address concerns about news agency clients getting a head start on trading based on… Read more »

Trade strategy requires patience, but can we afford it?

Canada’s retaliatory tariffs against the United States — worth $16.6 billion — will clearly come at a cost, not only to the American economy, but also the Canadian economy. Despite the likely economic fallout from this trade spat, both sides in this dispute are talking about being disciplined and patient and trying to take a… Read more »

The slow burn of soybeans moves lower as traders search for certainty

At one point in the fall of 2017 soybeans looked like the crop to grow in 2018, as it was going to be the first year ever that soybean acres would be higher than corn and demand was strong. Since the U.S. put its trade agenda with China into action, soybean future prices have really… Read more »

Beef Market Update: Live cattle futures hold following cash price recovery

When the live cattle futures are limit up, it’s a good day for cattle feeders. In these turbulent trade war times, any of the commodities will take a positive day. Cattle futures have been somewhat separated from the downward swing of soybeans, lean hogs, and wheat, but sometimes commodities are guilty by association. The table… Read more »

Acreage, stock reports spark a rally — this week in the grain markets

Grain prices were able to find some buyers on Friday, June 29th, to end the trading month and wrap the quarter. Except for canola and soybeans, the grain markets ended up in the green, led by the wheat complex. While today’s StatsCan and USDA reports were certainly important, they weren’t the only things moving grain… Read more »

StatsCan brings acreage estimates back in line with expectations

After delivering some big surprises in its seeding intentions report back in April, Statistics Canada moved more in line with market expectations in its seeded acreage report published on Friday morning, ahead of the USDA’s latest acreage estimates. The report was based on a survey of approximately 24,500 farms between May 11 and June 12,… Read more »

Soybeans exports a major concern for farmers in U.S.-China trade battle

As the U.S. attempts to fix its trade grievances with China, farmers watching a falling commodity market are having their patience tested. U.S President Donald Trump’s biggest grievance is the trade imbalance that the U.S. has with China.  As you can see below, in 2017 the U.S. exported US$129.9 billion in goods to China while… Read more »

Markets feel threat of additional tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese goods

It was a hairy day in the markets on Tuesday, with the trade battle between China and the United States playing a major factor. On Monday night, President Donald Trump informed the U.S. Trade Representative to look at tariffs on an additional $200 billion in imports from China. This is double his original threat of… Read more »