Grain markets almost always take a dive as harvest approaches and new supplies hit the market, but the big question for marketing is — will prices rebound or stay at lower levels? “I’ve been doing this for quite a few years and every year I kind of get sucked in a little by it, and… Read more »
Tag: Chuck Penner
India Pulse Export Scare More Smoke Than Fire: Chuck Penner
Concerns that India would no longer accept Canadian peas and lentils due to changes to fumigation requirements on incoming shipments were overblown, says the president of LeftField Commodity Research. India issued a three month extension last week, allowing sales to Canada’s largest pulse export market to continue. “In the end it turns out there was a lot more smoke… Read more »
Ugly Experience in ’16 Muddying Acreage Forecasts for ’17 — FarmTech Market Panel
Bad experiences with high disease levels in last year’s crop are making acreage projections for Western Canada in 2017 a tad more complicated than normal. “This year has been a lot more guess work. We have things we’re just not sure about because the price signals on durum are actually looking pretty favourable, the price… Read more »
Oat Prices Rally On Harvest Problems
Oat prices have rallied over the last three weeks due to the poor harvest conditions in Western Canada. The December futures contract in Chicago has climbed more than 20 percent since the start of the month — from US$1.76/bu to around $2.15/bu. “Earlier it looked like we were going to have plenty of oats out there,” says Chuck Penner… Read more »
Pulse School: How High Will Pea Acres Go in ’16?
Pea prices in Western Canada are at record levels and showing no signs of weakness, largely due to the pulse crop shortage in India. Old crop yellow peas are fetching spot bids over $11/bu while contracts for 2016 are in the $9.50 to $10/bu range (most with Act of God clauses). “At this stage of… Read more »
Pulse School: Record Lentil Acres Expected with Spike in Prices
These are exciting times for lentil growers, with record Canadian lentil acres projected for 2016. Red lentil bids in Western Canada have spiked into the C$0.50/lb range due to a combination of poor growing conditions in India and the lower value of the Canadian dollar relative to U.S. currency. “There’s no question we’re going to have acres… Read more »
A Few More Flax Acres Expected for ’15
Strong new crop prices for flax are expected to drive acres higher again in 2015. “The economics of flax currently make a lot of sense. There are a number of new crop bids in the $12.50 (per bushel) range. Compared to other crops that’s quite profitable, and compared to history that’s quite profitable, so I… Read more »
Are Wheat Markets Poised for a Rebound? — Market Update With Chuck Penner
Despite the tumble in wheat futures over the last month, there are still reasons for growers to be optimistic about where wheat prices are headed, according to the president of LeftField Commodity Research. Chuck Penner shares his take on what’s happening in the grain markets in this video filmed at FarmTech in Edmonton. “I’m friendliest… Read more »
Canola Gains Relative Value & USDA Cuts Soybean Stocks — Oilseed Market Update with Chuck Penner
After trading at a significant discount to soybeans last year, contrasting production scenarios have resulted in canola gaining value relative to soybeans over the last few months. “Historically canola futures have traded $80, sometimes even $100 higher than soybeans. Last year was exactly the opposite,” explains Chuck Penner of LeftField Commodity Research. “What we’re starting… Read more »
RealAg Markets: Make the Most of Oat Marketing Opportunities — Chuck Penner
If there’s one crop that’s been generating buzz this month, it’s oats, followed closely by flax. A plugged supply chain for our export markets has several farmers exploring other viable crop options for the 2014 growing seasons. Hot on the heels of this, the federal government recently announced funding for the oat market to re-build… Read more »
Which Crop Has the Biggest Downside Risk for ’14? Chuck Penner Weighs In
An unattractive basis is meant to discourage grain sales, but what happens when farmers are willing to sell even then (cash is getting tight, y’all) but bids disappear entirely? Then you have the grain marketing mess that is early 2014. Hear more: Check out all our coverage from CropSphere 2014 Chuck Penner (@LeftFieldCR), with LeftField… Read more »
RealAg Markets: Big Canola Crop & Fickle Buyers Could Limit Canola Market Upside
About this time last year, the canola crop’s respectable acreage base and promising production was being consumed by disease pressure, the bizarre looking aster yellows and then came the Billion Dollar Wind that shook and shattered seeds all over the ground. As we approach swathing and even harvest of the 2013 crop, however, the crop… Read more »
Pulse School: Chuck Penner Weighs in on Pea & Lentil Market Direction
Farmers who had included pulses in their initial crop rotations for 2013 are likely to rewarded for sticking with the crop thanks to continued big demand and lofty prices for most crop types. That’s according to Chuck Penner, owner of LeftField Commodity Research, who spoke with RealAgriculture.com’s Shaun Haney in this episode of the Pulse… Read more »
USDA Report Hammers the Commodity Markets – Chuck Penner
If you cannot see the above embedded audio player, CLICK HERE According to Chuck Penner, LeftField Commodity Research, everyone was waiting for the USDA planting intention report with baited breathe but what shocked (or maybe not) the market was the stocks report. Farmers holding onto old crop crop corn and wheat without unhedged are feeling… Read more »
Chuck Penner – Post CWB Monopoly Impacts on the Market
The world almost ended twice in 2012. Farmers had to beware of the Mayan calendar but also earlier in the year the CWB officially lost it’s monopoly on the sale of wheat in Canada. Some people predicted armageddon, while others believed that the benefits were huge. Chuck Penner, LeftField Commodity Research talked to me on… Read more »